The first polls are usually conducted by the media. They are not meant to be real polls and are often highly inaccurate. I am not a fan of these polls because they tend to be based on a person’s past voting history rather than their current political beliefs. If there were actual changes in the polls, you can be sure there would be many more people who did not vote.
I guess the point I’m trying to make is that polls are just a way to get people to think about issues. They don’t mean much of anything, and if you have an issue with them, it is because you don’t actually understand them or how they are being used.
The purpose of these polls is to get a group of people to vote for a candidate or ideas that they think will make them change their minds. Not that they have actually changed their minds, but based on the polls they seem to think so. The problem is that the polls are so broad that they cannot tell you if people are voting for the right reasons or not.
Polls are like a “heatmap” of the country. You can see a few bright spots, a few dark spots, but the idea is that most people are moving in a general direction. The problem is that you cannot tell which way is in which direction. For example, some people might feel that the Tea Party is a good thing, but in the poll that shows which way people vote, it is consistently along the far right.
This is why the polls are so easy to manipulate. People vote for their own specific reasons and are not as swayed by polls. To manipulate a poll, you need to manipulate your own perception of the poll. But this isn’t as simple as changing the way people see themselves and the world. Instead of just changing what people see the world through, you need to change what they think the world is. That’s why polling is so important.
If you were to take a poll of the top 30 Republican candidates, their percentages would be nearly identical to the percentages the Republican party gave President Obama in the 2012 election. But while the polls were at the top, the GOP candidates werent faring as well. The most popular candidate on the Republican side of the ballot was former House Speaker Newt Gingrich. That is a sign of how much the Republican party has changed in the last couple of years.
And that’s how it goes. The Republican party has shifted so much that only two candidates are still in the most popular slot on the ballot: former House of Representatives Speaker Newt Gingrich and former Pennsylvania Governor Mitt Romney. The rest of the candidates on the Republican side have dropped off the map. That probably means that the party is not likely to make it to the White House in the foreseeable future.
That certainly seems to be the case. Last week an NPR poll asked voters which candidate they’d most like to see win in the next election, and it’s the one who has the most to lose. In the poll, Gingrich won over Romney by 7 percentage points, but that’s not the only way this could go.
The other big loser in the Pennsylvania poll was President Obama. It appears that Obama has the support of only 36% of the state, which is pretty awful for a Democrat. That could have more to do with his support in the state than with Obama needing to win Pennsylvania in order to win the White House.
We’ve seen some good polls about Obama’s chances of winning in 2012, and it seems like the trend continues. The Rasmussen Reports poll last week gave him a 49% chance of winning the White House, with the likely voters giving him a 48% chance. This week, the NBC/Wall Street Journal poll gave him a 50% chance of winning the White House, with likely voters giving him a 48% chance.
